Debate likely to continue until autumn, with David Cameron seen as having blundered by moving so quickly against frontrunner
The
European
Union
is
facing one of its roughest power struggles over the most influential
job in Brussels, as Europe's
leaders seek to reassert control after an election that saw big gains
for the far right and the hard left, and amounted to a vote of no
confidence in many of the national governments.
David
Cameron has been pushed on to the defensive after revelations of deep
disagreement last week over the
candidacy
of the Luxembourg federalist Jean-Claude Juncker
for
the post of European
commission
president.
But he is not the only one taking a stand against the leading
candidate. On Sunday, the Italian prime minister, Matteo
Renzi,
signalled that Juncker may not be acceptable to him. And after losing
the elections
in France to the far-right Front National,
François Hollande is also said to oppose Juncker, allegedly telling
the German chancellor, Angela Merkel, that the job should go to the
French, preferably his former finance minister Pierre Moscovici.
Merkel,
Europe's most powerful leader, is seen as the pivotal figure in
seeking a compromise over the commission post. She has remained
equivocal over Juncker's prospects, although formally, as Germany's
Christian Democratic leader, she supports him. Cameron told Merkel at
a summit last week that Europe could not be run for the next five
years by "a man of the 1980s", according to Der Spiegel.
This
is a battle that has been in the offing for months. Before the
election, the
Guardian reported that Cameron would have a problem with Juncker
because
he was the head of a parliamentary bloc to which no British party
belonged. Juncker told the Guardian then: "Cameron has to stick
to the clear treaty rules … Whoever wins, wins … The question is
not whether we are supported in Great Britain. The question is rather
why does Great Britain not stick to the vote of the continental
Europeans?" Juncker reiterated his frustrations in an interview
published in Bild Zeitung on Sunday. "We cannot allow ourselves
to be blackmailed," he said. The arguments over who should get
the commission job, as well as a clutch of other top jobs in
Brussels, are likely to continue until the autumn. The view in
Brussels is that Cameron blundered by moving so quickly to oppose
Juncker. He is also seen as weak on Europe because of his pledge of a
referendum on Britain's membership in 2017, and because he is
perceived as a hostage of his backbenches and of Nigel Farage's Ukip,
which trounced the Conservatives in the election, driving the Tories
into third place.
Cameron
is supported most vocally by Hungary and also by the Swedish and
Dutch prime ministers, but he cannot veto Juncker's appointment and
so far has not enough support to erect a blocking minority in the
European council. Although national leaders are at odds over who
should get the commission post, the real fight is between the
governments of the EU and the European parliament over who should
have the defining say in making the appointment. At the insistence of
the main parties in the parliament, last week's election was the
first to include nominees for the commission post, meaning that the
candidate of the winning party should automatically get the job.
But
it is up to national leaders, not the parliament, to propose a
commission president. The nominee then has to be endorsed by an
absolute parliamentary majority of 376. Parliament leaders are
threatening to block anyone who is not their choice. "I am now
conducting all of my talks in the spirit that Jean-Claude Juncker
should become president of the European commission," Merkel said
on Friday, in her strongest declaration of support for the
Luxembourger.
She
left herself wiggle room, however. Her top EU advisers in Berlin are
known to oppose Juncker on the basis that the parliament has to be
shown who takes the decisions. The president of the council chairing
EU summits, Herman Van Rompuy, is also a vocal opponent of having
directly elected candidates for the post. He is in charge of
negotiations with parliament leaders aimed at crafting a compromise
and striking a deal.
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